All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Pendleton Heights Arabian Roundup |
Hamilton County |
Wildcat Classic |
Riverview Health Flashrock Invite |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Pendleton Heights Sectional |
Delta Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/22 |
8/28 |
9/8 |
9/15 |
9/22 |
9/29 |
10/6 |
10/13 |
10/20 |
10/27 |
| Team Rating |
328 |
328 |
300 |
336 |
607 |
330 |
298 |
400 |
370 |
345 |
329 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
328 |
300 |
336 |
324 |
330 |
298 |
350 |
355 |
345 |
329 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Pendleton Heights Arabian Roundup |
Hamilton County |
Wildcat Classic |
Riverview Health Flashrock Invite |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Pendleton Heights Sectional |
Delta Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 91 |
Grant Wilson |
12 |
16:34 |
16:32 |
16:12 |
16:22 |
|
16:43 |
16:32 |
|
17:01 |
16:34 |
16:32 |
| 97 |
Eric Swinson |
11 |
16:37 |
16:43 |
16:18 |
16:50 |
|
16:29 |
16:36 |
16:43 |
16:26 |
16:44 |
16:41 |
| 136 |
Eric Carothers |
12 |
16:47 |
16:41 |
16:57 |
16:39 |
|
16:48 |
16:45 |
16:46 |
16:37 |
17:01 |
16:50 |
| 168 |
Jacob Wiggers |
12 |
16:54 |
16:42 |
16:47 |
17:02 |
|
16:46 |
16:45 |
17:18 |
17:11 |
16:44 |
16:59 |
| 240 |
Nolan Satterfield |
9 |
17:03 |
17:13 |
17:27 |
17:18 |
17:00 |
17:09 |
17:13 |
17:01 |
|
17:06 |
16:56 |
| 307 |
Brady Jarosinski |
12 |
17:14 |
17:27 |
|
17:29 |
|
17:22 |
16:48 |
17:10 |
17:14 |
|
|
| 391 |
James Rathbun |
12 |
17:26 |
17:17 |
17:08 |
17:12 |
|
17:30 |
17:32 |
17:26 |
|
17:22 |
17:54 |
| 442 |
Will Marquardt |
9 |
17:31 |
17:23 |
17:15 |
17:30 |
17:23 |
|
17:58 |
|
17:36 |
|
|
| 545 |
Elliott Robinson |
11 |
17:42 |
17:20 |
|
17:41 |
|
17:57 |
17:15 |
18:19 |
|
|
|
| 623 |
Aj Brisben |
11 |
17:49 |
|
18:45 |
17:06 |
|
18:38 |
|
|
17:31 |
|
|
| 648 |
Will Tuckis |
9 |
17:52 |
18:12 |
17:30 |
18:08 |
17:43 |
17:58 |
17:48 |
|
|
|
|
| 673 |
Connor Wright |
10 |
17:55 |
18:15 |
|
17:55 |
17:49 |
17:58 |
17:48 |
|
|
|
|
| 754 |
Connor Sarkovics |
9 |
18:02 |
17:48 |
18:22 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 880 |
Brandon Barrientos |
12 |
18:11 |
18:16 |
|
18:56 |
|
17:53 |
18:05 |
|
|
|
|
| 925 |
Jack Struss |
10 |
18:14 |
|
|
18:17 |
18:21 |
18:26 |
17:56 |
|
|
|
|
| 962 |
Lucas Rankin |
10 |
18:17 |
17:56 |
|
18:10 |
18:25 |
18:10 |
18:39 |
|
|
|
|
| 989 |
Luke Pfanstiel |
10 |
18:19 |
18:23 |
|
18:37 |
17:50 |
18:29 |
18:16 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,080 |
Max Anderson |
10 |
18:26 |
17:52 |
19:25 |
18:01 |
|
18:46 |
18:25 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,128 |
Andre Salgado |
11 |
18:29 |
18:48 |
|
|
19:19 |
18:29 |
18:25 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,143 |
Jack Patrick |
10 |
18:30 |
18:40 |
|
18:20 |
18:42 |
18:24 |
18:32 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,356 |
Julian Spangler |
12 |
18:46 |
18:46 |
|
19:08 |
18:30 |
18:37 |
18:56 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,433 |
Nathan Voelker |
12 |
18:51 |
18:33 |
|
19:40 |
18:39 |
18:36 |
19:02 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,466 |
Auggie Isaac |
10 |
18:53 |
18:54 |
|
19:12 |
19:31 |
18:47 |
18:21 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,496 |
Andrew Koehler |
9 |
18:55 |
19:05 |
|
19:15 |
18:21 |
19:18 |
18:44 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,530 |
Caleb Lindsay |
9 |
18:58 |
19:12 |
|
18:54 |
18:50 |
19:05 |
18:55 |
|
|
|
|
|
Adam Huckabee |
12 |
19:04 |
18:43 |
|
19:17 |
19:33 |
19:04 |
18:53 |
|
|
|
|
|
Zane Davis |
10 |
19:06 |
19:02 |
|
18:55 |
19:02 |
18:55 |
20:14 |
|
|
|
|
|
Max Kittleson |
9 |
19:22 |
19:48 |
|
20:03 |
19:03 |
18:59 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jackson Williams |
11 |
19:23 |
18:28 |
|
18:29 |
19:45 |
20:40 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jake Barnett |
11 |
19:29 |
19:18 |
|
19:30 |
20:02 |
19:18 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Eric Broyles |
9 |
23:12 |
23:46 |
|
|
24:09 |
23:59 |
23:14 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
14.2 |
354 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
3.4 |
4.2 |
4.5 |
5.1 |
5.7 |
5.8 |
6.7 |
6.7 |
6.4 |
6.6 |
7.1 |
7.2 |
7.4 |
6.1 |
5.1 |
2.5 |
1.5 |
0.3 |
| Semi-State |
100% |
5.4 |
173 |
1.3 |
7.4 |
10.6 |
14.3 |
18.1 |
18.5 |
15.0 |
8.4 |
3.5 |
1.7 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.1 |
60 |
2.8 |
86.2 |
11.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.1 |
59 |
2.7 |
87.6 |
9.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Grant Wilson |
100% |
82.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
22.0% |
| Eric Swinson |
100% |
87.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
15.6% |
| Eric Carothers |
100% |
106.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.0% |
| Jacob Wiggers |
100% |
119.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.8% |
| Nolan Satterfield |
100% |
138.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
| Brady Jarosinski |
100% |
156.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| James Rathbun |
100% |
175.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Grant Wilson |
100% |
27.9 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
3.4 |
3.6 |
3.9 |
3.0 |
3.6 |
3.0 |
3.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Eric Swinson |
100% |
31.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
3.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Eric Carothers |
100% |
44.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Jacob Wiggers |
100% |
54.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Nolan Satterfield |
100% |
70.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
99.9% |
| Brady Jarosinski |
100% |
89.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.5% |
| James Rathbun |
100% |
109.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
90.2% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Grant Wilson |
100% |
7.6 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
3.1 |
4.9 |
8.5 |
11.7 |
13.9 |
12.4 |
9.8 |
7.5 |
8.9 |
7.2 |
4.8 |
3.6 |
1.9 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Eric Swinson |
100% |
8.6 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
1.4 |
3.5 |
5.8 |
9.2 |
12.3 |
11.7 |
10.2 |
9.4 |
8.3 |
8.6 |
7.6 |
5.1 |
3.4 |
1.8 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Eric Carothers |
100% |
12.7 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.6 |
3.3 |
5.1 |
7.3 |
7.5 |
7.9 |
8.7 |
11.1 |
12.2 |
11.3 |
8.5 |
6.3 |
3.7 |
2.5 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Jacob Wiggers |
100% |
15.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.4 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
5.7 |
7.5 |
10.1 |
12.6 |
13.1 |
11.7 |
9.6 |
6.6 |
4.2 |
2.7 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Nolan Satterfield |
100% |
18.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
3.4 |
6.1 |
9.0 |
11.8 |
14.0 |
13.7 |
12.0 |
8.8 |
6.1 |
4.4 |
2.3 |
1.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Brady Jarosinski |
100% |
21.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
3.7 |
6.1 |
9.0 |
11.7 |
13.3 |
12.9 |
11.7 |
9.6 |
7.5 |
|
100.0% |
| James Rathbun |
100% |
24.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
2.9 |
4.6 |
7.6 |
9.4 |
11.8 |
12.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Grant Wilson |
6.9 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
3.0 |
6.1 |
10.7 |
16.9 |
15.2 |
10.0 |
8.9 |
8.5 |
8.3 |
5.7 |
3.1 |
2.0 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Eric Swinson |
7.7 |
|
0.1 |
1.7 |
3.6 |
7.8 |
14.1 |
14.9 |
11.0 |
9.1 |
9.3 |
9.1 |
8.7 |
5.2 |
3.1 |
1.7 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Eric Carothers |
11.6 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
2.8 |
4.3 |
8.8 |
7.9 |
8.3 |
9.4 |
11.9 |
13.1 |
11.9 |
9.9 |
6.0 |
2.8 |
1.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Jacob Wiggers |
13.8 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.4 |
2.6 |
4.3 |
5.2 |
5.7 |
8.3 |
10.9 |
13.5 |
14.7 |
14.2 |
10.3 |
5.5 |
2.2 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
| Nolan Satterfield |
16.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
2.4 |
3.9 |
6.9 |
10.9 |
15.1 |
18.8 |
19.1 |
9.9 |
5.1 |
2.2 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
| Brady Jarosinski |
18.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
2.4 |
4.3 |
9.3 |
16.8 |
21.6 |
17.3 |
11.8 |
7.0 |
3.7 |
2.3 |
0.9 |
| James Rathbun |
21.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
2.7 |
8.0 |
13.9 |
17.2 |
16.7 |
14.7 |
11.1 |
8.3 |
|
